{"status":"ok","token_id":1,"rating":"F*","matured":9,"hits":1,"pushes":6,"hit_rate":0.3333,"brier":0.4268,"baseline_rate":0.6667,"skill":-0.3333,"rating_note":"PROVISIONAL ('*'): based on only 9 matured call(s). At this sample size only 0/33/67/100% hit rates are attainable, so B/C/D are unreachable and every soul lands A or F — the letter is preliminary. Judge on `skill` (hit_rate minus baseline_rate), not `hit_rate`.","recent_results":[{"name":"Cosmic Eclipse Elite Trainer Box","direction":"up","as_of":"2026-07-12","move_pct":-0.45,"outcome":"push"},{"name":"500 Years in the Future - Booster Box Case","direction":"down","as_of":"2026-07-12","move_pct":-3.51,"outcome":"hit"},{"name":"Premium Booster Vol. 2 - Booster Box Case","direction":"down","as_of":"2026-07-12","move_pct":1.24,"outcome":"miss"},{"name":"Double Masters 2022 - Collector Booster Display Case","direction":"down","as_of":"2026-07-05","move_pct":0.7,"outcome":"push"},{"name":"Wings of the Captain - Booster Box Case","direction":"down","as_of":"2026-07-05","move_pct":-0.16,"outcome":"push"},{"name":"Destined Rivals Booster Box Case","direction":"down","as_of":"2026-07-05","move_pct":-0.05,"outcome":"push"},{"name":"Onslaught - Booster Box","direction":"up","as_of":"2026-07-01","move_pct":0.0,"outcome":"push"},{"name":"Unified Minds Booster Box","direction":"down","as_of":"2026-07-01","move_pct":6.61,"outcome":"miss"},{"name":"Wish For Shenron Booster Box Case","direction":"down","as_of":"2026-07-01","move_pct":0.0,"outcome":"push"}],"open_predictions":[{"product_id":557365,"name":"Stellar Crown Booster Box Case","direction":"down","as_of":"2026-08-16","matures_on":"2026-09-15","lock_hash":"7f7aed984aebd27f79822bc0c131a685eb0c8cc6337ce2fbd69b656c4d447ac9","week_commitment":{"merkle_root":"5e731c9f6b76fed59647999e5bfc75bfb75ff81c937bc13c6bbb77447236a862","tx":"2d5c690b71ef66b7a375f98a078b5ea9e312a54f653526595a4245a8edc97818"}},{"product_id":628347,"name":"Legacy of the Master Booster Box Case","direction":"up","as_of":"2026-08-16","matures_on":"2026-09-15","lock_hash":"79f01653215378e421a20733d9423889ec666836bdbc9b9e682bfe73ab3f4e41","week_commitment":{"merkle_root":"5e731c9f6b76fed59647999e5bfc75bfb75ff81c937bc13c6bbb77447236a862","tx":"2d5c690b71ef66b7a375f98a078b5ea9e312a54f653526595a4245a8edc97818"}},{"product_id":666892,"name":"Extra Booster: One Piece Heroines Edition Box Case","direction":"up","as_of":"2026-08-16","matures_on":"2026-09-15","lock_hash":"aaa3296a52a0f46b7ae3325576bd7a2547226b6c4eca2cf4a5e4e5130e12451f","week_commitment":{"merkle_root":"5e731c9f6b76fed59647999e5bfc75bfb75ff81c937bc13c6bbb77447236a862","tx":"2d5c690b71ef66b7a375f98a078b5ea9e312a54f653526595a4245a8edc97818"}},{"product_id":123446,"name":"XY Evolutions Booster Box","direction":"down","as_of":"2026-08-09","matures_on":"2026-09-08","lock_hash":"8658866b716d29260250eba3afe72c42acb3bc091444b30c82efce7852ba4ac0","week_commitment":{"merkle_root":"fc8909afc062e65b523c1c77b2a501a997f7b2f20a0e6d59ab043f220d75bc48","tx":"4e816e172c421a12cd668c2daf89ce763e456fadebba9ff17ecf93589c8b2ac6"}},{"product_id":557076,"name":"Fusion Strike Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box Case (Exclusive)","direction":"down","as_of":"2026-08-09","matures_on":"2026-09-08","lock_hash":"5a6f18c09ca57a4c6c41d0eb41eaa00415cb98b1101aaf1654083bce466519a1","week_commitment":{"merkle_root":"fc8909afc062e65b523c1c77b2a501a997f7b2f20a0e6d59ab043f220d75bc48","tx":"4e816e172c421a12cd668c2daf89ce763e456fadebba9ff17ecf93589c8b2ac6"}},{"product_id":692395,"name":"Story Booster 01 Booster Box Case","direction":"down","as_of":"2026-08-09","matures_on":"2026-09-08","lock_hash":"08fc7a6c8b1db1f476ab5e09617ecc6d2b69fb592b793697c9fa41f40c6e2cbd","week_commitment":{"merkle_root":"fc8909afc062e65b523c1c77b2a501a997f7b2f20a0e6d59ab043f220d75bc48","tx":"4e816e172c421a12cd668c2daf89ce763e456fadebba9ff17ecf93589c8b2ac6"}},{"product_id":92168,"name":"Furious Fists Booster Box","direction":"up","as_of":"2026-08-02","matures_on":"2026-09-01","lock_hash":"a1803183065ca006674dc70fa668448ab334cbe4ad9793eb8bfd58345e0a0189","week_commitment":{"merkle_root":"fa571053d80651180850b7c2bdc2b53b07e463c16a471f2a80e362cd027f832b","tx":"9bcfc5a54ad20bdefbc355d87b06366da0ad05a9dabc60edd7573465ccea90c1"}},{"product_id":247385,"name":"Champion's Path Elite Trainer Box Case","direction":"down","as_of":"2026-08-02","matures_on":"2026-09-01","lock_hash":"2c25f40cb5b3574fc129c42781fe36cc35b9c26f3e7af9dcd5b921cb2887e4a7","week_commitment":{"merkle_root":"fa571053d80651180850b7c2bdc2b53b07e463c16a471f2a80e362cd027f832b","tx":"9bcfc5a54ad20bdefbc355d87b06366da0ad05a9dabc60edd7573465ccea90c1"}},{"product_id":478805,"name":"Phyrexia: All Will Be One - 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Booster Box Case","direction":"down","as_of":"2026-07-19","matures_on":"2026-08-18","lock_hash":"954a156dc6f8fc9038640045d29681cf57431e24a29852cf246a33da0df5733c","week_commitment":{"merkle_root":"3bd4900bf54e20099883707293fa46a8660cb42a8785ba281d356fc2bbd3f6bb","tx":"b6eb6c0cbf0b3b7b60c4de1e97dee59e5e74d9b0e0d6c3a84dc9519346aafc8c"}},{"product_id":275410,"name":"Unfinity - Collector Booster Display Case","direction":"up","as_of":"2026-07-19","matures_on":"2026-08-18","lock_hash":"e3a2f2689d0862ee768ff992a228f16fd9bdc5025ec15745961a7e077887a67f","week_commitment":{"merkle_root":"3bd4900bf54e20099883707293fa46a8660cb42a8785ba281d356fc2bbd3f6bb","tx":"b6eb6c0cbf0b3b7b60c4de1e97dee59e5e74d9b0e0d6c3a84dc9519346aafc8c"}},{"product_id":282229,"name":"The Brothers' War - Set Booster Display Case","direction":"down","as_of":"2026-07-19","matures_on":"2026-08-18","lock_hash":"73664a01af45be62ce1ee30b7aa45c3a1b07aeadfa2ed9cedf54819401c6d5b1","week_commitment":{"merkle_root":"3bd4900bf54e20099883707293fa46a8660cb42a8785ba281d356fc2bbd3f6bb","tx":"b6eb6c0cbf0b3b7b60c4de1e97dee59e5e74d9b0e0d6c3a84dc9519346aafc8c"}}],"methodology_note":"Every Undesirable soul locks 3 deterministic card predictions weekly, chosen by its on-chain personality traits from the PUBLIC free forecast board (/api/v1/forecast); all 4,444 are merkle-committed on-chain before outcomes, but only MINTED souls' records are public — the rest stay sealed until mint. The oracle scores calls 30 days later against real market prices: small moves push (excluded), else hit/miss. Judge on `skill` (hit_rate minus baseline_rate): a high hit rate in a rising market is beta, not skill.","verify":"Fully deterministic: recompute picks() from the archived public forecast board (as_of date) + the soul's traits; sha256 the canonical row to reproduce each lock_hash. Weekly roots are committed to the SoulPredictionOracle contract on LitVM LiteForge (chain 4441) at 0x5503D08D7D167eE23AcE818bff1a00eF77A76dBF BEFORE maturity — immutable per week (no overwrite path); verifyPrediction(weekId, leaf, proof) with OZ sorted-pair convention, leaf = keccak(keccak(abi.encode(tokenId, weekId, productId, direction, lockHash))). Week 1 (20260701) provenance: v1 calldata commitment tx 2270231299ed689e35136e82f2295bdeaaec7ca8dc7bbbc3d047b9d9c00f1c50 (sha256-tree root, committed pre-outcome), recommitted on-contract tx 0xbfdf2fc953548d20a7fd024c14b67aae6cadd4b26618e3dc396246b67c8f355c."}