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Judge on `skill` (hit_rate minus baseline_rate), not `hit_rate` — a high hit rate in a rising market is beta, not skill.","recent_results":[{"name":"Unbroken Bonds Booster Box","direction":"up","as_of":"2026-08-30","move_pct":null,"outcome":"void","void_reason":"last_print_22d_stale_cap_7d"},{"name":"Commander Legends: Battle for Baldur's Gate - Set Booster Box Case","direction":"down","as_of":"2026-08-30","move_pct":null,"outcome":"void","void_reason":"last_print_22d_stale_cap_7d"},{"name":"Commander Legends: Battle for Baldur's Gate - Collector Booster Display Case","direction":"down","as_of":"2026-08-30","move_pct":null,"outcome":"void","void_reason":"last_print_22d_stale_cap_7d"},{"name":"Fusion Strike Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box Case (Exclusive)","direction":"down","as_of":"2026-08-23","move_pct":null,"outcome":"void","void_reason":"last_print_15d_stale_cap_7d"},{"name":"Prismatic Evolutions Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) 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poc/bw09/10078","direction":"up","as_of":"2026-09-14","matures_on":"2026-10-14","lock_hash":"b79fba817240eb150574a0962c7d1943924e10691b5ff75abf9e92850fa1ff23","week_commitment":{"merkle_root":"d3a5122a12d713f4a1a17952d3aa4c01d9478547a3fffa3806b97d9a52ea40c0","tx":"f00dbc40cd545681dfbbca6a71703bee2ac90572da017dacb07a497e346713e9"}},{"product_id":87404,"name":"Mew","direction":"up","as_of":"2026-09-06","matures_on":"2026-10-06","lock_hash":"a41a6f2a23b747ed829aea9c129daeb82ecc908de691c62cc28f55cc9659caa8","week_commitment":{"merkle_root":"654072912fae484eb58b9e46d16ef942296f530f73dd28c17b08702e26474d94","tx":"00fc1744a015853a876b2b47ff91e3f7ffce0783059928c602a6c29edacd88cf"}},{"product_id":501750,"name":"Tony Tony.Chopper (3-on-3 Cup) [Participant]","direction":"down","as_of":"2026-09-06","matures_on":"2026-10-06","lock_hash":"33decf29187d085fcc4ed41e4e129b4e9d307834e862f7445209bf4feb0c4d73","week_commitment":{"merkle_root":"654072912fae484eb58b9e46d16ef942296f530f73dd28c17b08702e26474d94","tx":"00fc1744a015853a876b2b47ff91e3f7ffce0783059928c602a6c29edacd88cf"}},{"product_id":619650,"name":"Tarkir: Dragonstorm - Collector Booster Display Case","direction":"down","as_of":"2026-09-06","matures_on":"2026-10-06","lock_hash":"3e07abe850a13f3227660b0101dabe426ccd710c50479c980918dcc7bb4db10f","week_commitment":{"merkle_root":"654072912fae484eb58b9e46d16ef942296f530f73dd28c17b08702e26474d94","tx":"00fc1744a015853a876b2b47ff91e3f7ffce0783059928c602a6c29edacd88cf"}}],"methodology_note":"Every Undesirable soul locks 3 deterministic card predictions weekly, chosen by its on-chain personality traits from the PUBLIC free forecast board (/api/v1/forecast); all 4,444 are merkle-committed on-chain before outcomes, but only MINTED souls' records are public — the rest stay sealed until mint. The oracle scores calls 30 days later against real market prices: small moves push (excluded), else hit/miss. Judge on `skill` (hit_rate minus baseline_rate): a high hit rate in a rising market is beta, not skill.","verify":"Fully deterministic: recompute picks() from the archived public forecast board (as_of date) + the soul's traits; sha256 the canonical row to reproduce each lock_hash. Weekly roots are committed to the SoulPredictionOracle contract on LitVM LiteForge (chain 4441) at 0x5503D08D7D167eE23AcE818bff1a00eF77A76dBF BEFORE maturity — immutable per week (no overwrite path); verifyPrediction(weekId, leaf, proof) with OZ sorted-pair convention, leaf = keccak(keccak(abi.encode(tokenId, weekId, productId, direction, lockHash))). Week 1 (20260701) provenance: v1 calldata commitment tx 2270231299ed689e35136e82f2295bdeaaec7ca8dc7bbbc3d047b9d9c00f1c50 (sha256-tree root, committed pre-outcome), recommitted on-contract tx 0xbfdf2fc953548d20a7fd024c14b67aae6cadd4b26618e3dc396246b67c8f355c."}